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However, these cryptocurrencies also potentially have more room for growth. Your challenge is to determine which of these low-cap coins could bring as much value to the world or close to as much value as Bitcoin has. Another aspect of cryptocurrency market capitalization to consider involves market manipulation. Small market caps lend themselves to price manipulation more readily than large caps. Bad actors exploit small market cap coins by controlling enough of the total supply to create large price movements in one direction or another.
Cryptocurrency market capitalization provides no information regarding the future direction the price will take. No part of the equation determines the future coin supply. Instead, the code defines whether the system will mint future coins. And If so, at what pace.
Some cryptocurrencies cap the total supply of coins while others create an infinite supply. The Bitcoin network caps the total number of bitcoins at 21 million. As for Ethereum, Vitalik Buterin speaks favorably of a system where existing Ether gets burned out of the available supply to avoid inflation.
Not all rare books command a high price. A capped supply guarantees one thing: all the variation in the market cap comes from price since supply remains fixed. Market cap in and of itself tells us nothing about the velocity or direction of the coin, whether explosive growth or gradual decline. But, calculating market cap over a period of time could reveal trends. For crypto, the number of dead coins is a unique factor that also influences the market cap. Some people lose their wallet.
Bugs in the code also cause lost coins. Hackers steal crypto, and in some cases may not be able to redeem the coins. The market cap approach belongs to the fundamental analysis field of stock market investing. Fundamental analysis seeks to calculate the value of a company to determine future rewards. This strategy involves long-term thinking and looks for growth in value over time. On the other end of the spectrum, technical analysis focuses on short-term trends, and price fluctuations play a more important role than long-term valuation.
If an investor using technical analysis believes the price of a stock or cryptocurrency will skyrocket over the next week, that constitutes a good short-term investment regardless of market cap. The value could sink to zero next year, but a short-term investor would not care.
Limitations to using traditional stock market analysis like market cap arise when you realize these techniques serve to analyze companies. Bitcoin exists as a software system to enact financial transactions in a decentralized context, not as a company. Similarly, Ethereum provides developers with a platform to create decentralized applications and organizations. Ethereum helps to create companies, but its own central mission does not involve seeking profit and increasing its revenue. When people invest in Bitcoin, to a large extent, they bet on a particular vision of the future.
They believe the world will move to crypto, and Bitcoin appears to hold the strongest claim on that version of the future. But no one truly knows. While stock market analysis applied to cryptocurrency shows limitations, analysis techniques used in fiat currency trading also exist. Do they prove useful when transposed to crypto trading? Unfortunately, just as stock analysis focuses on company data, analysis for fiat currency trading focuses on nations.
Nations produce fiat currency. How a nation fares in terms of trade agreements, employment, and military conflicts factor into fiat currency analysis. Disable this alert after it triggers once. Looking for a different way to monitor the crypto space?
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